empty
08.02.2024 05:43 PM
Bitcoin consolidated above $44k: has the bullish rally resumed?

Bitcoin has been in a consolidation phase for the past week and a half, with the price locked within a narrow range of $40.5k–$43.4k. During this period, price changes fluctuated around 1%, and trading activity did not exceed $25 billion. Meanwhile, various categories of investors continued to actively accumulate BTC coins, but there was no clear confidence in the cryptocurrency's bullish prospects.

This image is no longer relevant

We considered two scenarios for Bitcoin's development, and as of February 8, the asset approached the realization of the bullish scenario. The cryptocurrency consolidated above $44k and continues to rise towards the $44.5k level. Trading volumes and buyer activity on the asset's network significantly increased, indicating the potential for continued growth. However, it is premature to claim that Bitcoin has fully resumed a bullish rally.

Bullish Scenario

Recall that the bullish scenario for Bitcoin involves the cryptocurrency resuming its upward movement to the $45k level after a local correction. Near this mark, the 0.618 Fibonacci level passes, which is a key resistance zone and, at the same time, the final zone for corrective movement in the long term. To eliminate the probability of a repeat decline and a retest of the shoulders level at $40.5k, the asset needs to break through $45k.

This image is no longer relevant

As of writing, Bitcoin is trading near the $44.5k level, with daily trading volumes around $24 billion. It is worth noting that trading volumes remain low, while the number of unique addresses on the BTC network continues to grow, which is a positive signal. Bitcoin is gradually approaching the broad accumulation zone of $44.5k–$45k, where a local pullback may occur.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the stochastic oscillator has entered the overbought zone, indicating the prospect of a cryptocurrency price pullback in the near future. Among the potential levels for a local correction, $43.9k and $43.4k can be highlighted. However, Bitcoin doesn't need to undergo a local correction immediately after the start of the rally, but resistance from sellers will increase. Therefore, fundamental macro factors may play a crucial role in the upcoming retest of $45k.

Fundamental Background

Moderate optimism is gradually returning to the cryptocurrency market, as well as to other financial markets. Investors still hope that the Federal Reserve System will begin easing monetary policy before the second half of 2024. As the Fed meeting has just concluded, and inflation data will be released next week, traders will be monitoring labor market indicators.

This image is no longer relevant

Conclusion

Bitcoin has emerged from a state of dormancy, and the cryptocurrency market has entered an active phase of upward movement. In the context of the global situation, this process occurs within the framework of a corrective movement, making it crucial for investors that Bitcoin consolidates above $45k. However, given the possibility of negative macroeconomic data, it is advisable to be prepared for a decline in BTC quotes. Considering that selling volumes remain high, this scenario also appears likely.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trading tips for crypto market on June 27 (North American session)

Bitcoin made another attempt to return to the $108,000 level, but failed to hold it and corrected lower, falling below the $107,000 mark, a move that could lead

Miroslaw Bawulski 15:47 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Another Major Company Announces $1 Billion Raise to Buy Bitcoin

The cryptocurrency market is showing strong confidence. Given its correlation with the U.S. stock market—where historical highs are being updated—there is room to expect further growth in digital assets. However

Jakub Novak 10:50 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 27

Bitcoin and Ethereum have paused their upward movement following yesterday's weak fundamental data, indicating a slowdown in the U.S. economy's growth. However, this wasn't the primary driver behind the pause

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:16 2025-06-27 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 26

Bitcoin and Ethereum are demonstrating stable growth amid new forecasts regarding the number of interest rate cuts expected from the Federal Reserve this year. Another dovish stance from

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:19 2025-06-26 UTC+2

Bitcoin Aims For Continued Growth

Yesterday, Bitcoin continued its upward movement, driven by the notably softer tone of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding the future of interest rates. His cautious remarks — that

Jakub Novak 12:42 2025-06-25 UTC+2

BTC/USD Analysis on June 25, 2025

The wave pattern on the 4-hour BTC/USD chart remains generally clear. We observed a corrective downward formation that completed near the $75,000 level. After that, a strong upward movement began

Chin Zhao 12:32 2025-06-25 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 25

Bitcoin and Ethereum continued their rally yesterday, triggered by news of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's dovish tone during his testimony in the House

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:33 2025-06-25 UTC+2

BTC/USD Now trying to reach the level of 106000. Tuesday, June 24, 2025.

1. Market Sentiment Summary. When yesterday President Trump softened his aggression against Iran, it eased the current world geopolitical tensions, causing several market players to start returning to risky assets

Arief Makmur 07:36 2025-06-25 UTC+2

Bitcoin and Ethereum Regain Strength

Bitcoin and Ethereum are showing strong performance. After holding the $100,000 level, large buyers returned to their usual activity and have already pushed BTC back to the $105,000 area. Ethereum

Jakub Novak 10:52 2025-06-24 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 24

Bitcoin and Ethereum surged sharply after news emerged that Iran and Israel might halt their exchanges of strikes. U.S. President Donald Trump announced yesterday that Iran and Israel had agreed

Miroslaw Bawulski 10:04 2025-06-24 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.