empty
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
InstaForex - Official partner of Dragon Racing
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
24.01.2025 12:32 PM
GBP/USD. January 24th. The US Dollar Awaits the FOMC Meeting
Open trading account Open demo account

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 261.8% Fibonacci level at 1.2303 on Thursday, reversed in favor of the British pound, and secured itself above the 1.2363–1.2370 resistance zone. This suggests the potential for continued growth toward the next resistance zone at 1.2488–1.2508. However, the pound's growth is currently limited by the upward trend channel that supports its continuation. The pair is now near the upper boundary of this channel, making further short-term growth uncertain.

This image is no longer relevant

The wave structure remains clear. The last completed downward wave broke the low of the previous wave, while the last upward wave has yet to approach its previous peak. This indicates the continuation of a bearish trend, with no signs of reversal at this point. To terminate this trend, the pound must rise to at least 1.2569 and securely close above it. Such a scenario is unlikely to materialize today.

Thursday brought little economic news from both the UK and the US, although President Donald Trump did speak, calling for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to cut rates. It's important to note that the Federal Reserve's plans differ significantly from those of the newly inaugurated U.S. president. Their objectives diverge as well. Next week, the Fed will hold its first meeting of the year. While traders do not expect any changes to monetary policy parameters, Trump's remarks yesterday make Fed Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming comments highly anticipated.

If Powell shows leniency and hints at a willingness to accelerate rate cuts, bearish traders will retreat further. Currently, the market expects no more than two 0.25% rate cuts from the Fed in 2025. However, if Powell signals the possibility of more aggressive easing, the dollar could face significant challenges. The current bullish trend is very weak and could end at any moment. Trump cannot consistently support dollar bears every day.

This image is no longer relevant

On the 4-hour chart, the pair may continue to grow within a downward trend channel. However, the hourly chart indicates the likelihood of bears regaining control in the near term. For now, I recommend focusing more on the hourly chart. No divergence signals are observed in any indicators today.

Commitments of Traders (COT) Report

This image is no longer relevant

The sentiment among the "Non-commercial" category of traders became significantly more bearish last week. The number of long positions held by speculators decreased by 786, while short positions increased by 13,282. Bulls have lost all their market advantage, a process that has unfolded over several months. The gap between long and short positions is now non-existent, with both at 80,000.

In my view, the pound retains the potential for further declines, and COT reports indicate growing bearish positions nearly every week. Over the past three months, long positions have decreased from 161,000 to 80,000, while short positions have risen from 67,000 to 80,000. I expect professional players to continue shedding long positions or increasing shorts over time, as all possible factors for buying the British pound have already been priced in. Graphical analysis also supports the pound's decline.

Economic Calendar for the UK and US:

  • UK: Services PMI (09:30 UTC)
  • UK: Manufacturing PMI (09:30 UTC)
  • US: Services PMI (14:45 UTC)
  • US: Manufacturing PMI (14:45 UTC)
  • US: New Home Sales (15:00 UTC)
  • US: Consumer Sentiment Index (15:00 UTC)

Friday's economic calendar includes several noteworthy events. The influence of the news background on market sentiment may be moderate throughout the day.

GBP/USD Forecast and Trading Recommendations:

Selling opportunities will arise if the pair consolidates below the ascending trend channel on the hourly chart. Buying opportunities remain viable, given that the pair closed above the 1.2363–1.2370 zone on the hourly chart. However, the influence of today's economic news could negate any potential gains.

Fibonacci levels are plotted at 1.3000–1.3432 on the hourly chart and 1.2299–1.3432 on the 4-hour chart.

Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Technical analysis
EUR/USD Forecast for April 11, 2025 Over the past day and this morning, the euro has reached the target range of 1.1385–1.1420, corresponding to the highs of June 2019 and 2020. The signal line
Laurie Bailey
05:03 2025-04-11 +02:00
1015
Technical analysis
GBP/USD Forecast for April 11, 2025 The British pound has reached the target level of 1.3001. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is breaking through the zero line into bullish territory, opening the way toward
Laurie Bailey
05:03 2025-04-11 +02:00
1030
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

EUR/USD Forecast for April 11, 2025

Over the past day and this morning, the euro has reached the target range of 1.1385–1.1420, corresponding to the highs of June 2019 and 2020. The signal line
Laurie Bailey 05:03 2025-04-11 UTC+2

GBP/USD Forecast for April 11, 2025

The British pound has reached the target level of 1.3001. The signal line of the Marlin oscillator is breaking through the zero line into bullish territory, opening the way toward
Laurie Bailey 05:03 2025-04-11 UTC+2

USD/JPY Forecast for April 11, 2025

Yesterday, the USD/JPY pair decisively broke through the wide support range of 145.08/91 and reached the target level of 143.45 during today's Pacific session. The Marlin oscillator has only recently
Laurie Bailey 05:03 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Trading Signals for GOLD (XAU/USD) for April 10-12, 2025: sell below $3,145 (21 SMA - 8/8 Murray)

The Eagle indicator is reaching oversold levels and is giving a negative signal, so we will look for opportunities to sell below 3,145 or below 3,131 with a target
Dimitrios Zappas 15:37 2025-04-10 UTC+2

EUR/USD. April 10. Trump Continues to Shake the Markets

On Wednesday, the EUR/USD pair made two rebounds from the resistance zone of 1.1081–1.1095, turned in favor of the U.S. dollar, and declined toward the support zone of 1.0944–1.0957
Samir Klishi 12:19 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Forecast for GBP/USD on April 10, 2025

On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD pair rebounded from the 1.2865 level on Wednesday, experienced a slight decline, and today returned to that same level. Another rebound from this level
Samir Klishi 12:12 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Forex forecast 10/04/2025: EUR/USD, SP500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones, USDX and Bitcoin

Useful links: My other articles are available in this section InstaForex course for beginners Popular Analytics Open trading account Important: The begginers in forex trading need to be very careful
Sebastian Seliga 11:35 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Nasdaq 100 Index, Thursday April 10, 2025.

From what is visible on the 4-hour chart of the Nasdaq 100 index, although there is currently a strengthening in #NDX, this is confirmed by its price movement moving above
Arief Makmur 10:14 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Daily Price Movement of USD/IDR Exotic Currency Pairs, Thursday April 10, 2025.

On the daily chart, the exotic currency pair USD/IDR appears to have a fairly strong Bullish bias, which is indicated by its price movement moving above its EMA (21)
Arief Makmur 10:14 2025-04-10 UTC+2

USD/JPY: Slowing Inflation in the U.S. Could Pressure the Pair

The Japanese yen fell significantly the day before on unexpected news of a 90-day pause in trade wars. This development supported the dollar, but whether its growth will continue remains
Pati Gani 09:56 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 20:00 2025-04-11 UTC--4
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for GBP/USD on April 11: The Dollar Takes a Double Hit
03:28 2025-04-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 20:00 2025-04-11 UTC--4
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on April 11: Trump Raises Tariffs on China Again
03:28 2025-04-11
Trading plan
Relevance up to 20:00 2025-04-11 UTC--4
EUR/USD Overview. April 11: The American Comedy Continues
03:28 2025-04-11
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-04-11 UTC--4
USD/JPY Forecast for April 11, 2025
05:03 2025-04-11
Technical analysis
Relevance up to 22:00 2025-04-11 UTC--4
GBP/USD Forecast for April 11, 2025
05:03 2025-04-11
Technical analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.