empty
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
InstaForex Loprais Team - Official participant of the Dakar rally
This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.
Start as Beginner
How to start trading
Useful information
Training and recordings
InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.
Become Investor
PAMM System
ForexCopy System
Passive investments
Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.
Become Partner
Main Page
Partner Area
Advantages for Affiliates
Registration
This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.
All Promo Campaigns
Bonuses
Contests
Events
Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.
Full details
Forums
We are in social networks
Forex humour
Forex Portal
InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.
Learn More
History
Why Choose Us
InstaSport
Regulation
Company News
Awards
InstaForex Stars
InstaForex Offline
Headquarters
Key documents
Social Responsibility
20.03.2025 09:23 AM
Markets Are Stuck in a Vicious Circle with No Exit in Sight (Potential Decline for Bitcoin and Gold Prices)
Open trading account Open demo account

The markets are currently experiencing significant shock due to a prevailing negative sentiment that looms over them like a heavy burden, with no resolution in sight. Given this situation, the future dynamics of the market remain uncertain and raise important questions.

As expected, the Federal Reserve left all monetary policy parameters unchanged. During the press conference, Chairman Jerome Powell confirmed that the central bank hopes to cut the key interest rate twice this year but highlighted existing problems and risks. So, what are those?

The Fed chair didn't hide the consequences of Donald Trump's customs tariffs. He explicitly stated that the tariff policy is likely to lead to higher prices, and it is unclear how much prices will rise or whether these inflationary changes will be temporary. Powell admitted that the Fed itself doesn't fully understand the long-term effects of the 47th president of the United States' economic and geopolitical actions. The uncertainty factor will continue to loom over the national economy and markets.

Furthermore, for the first time since Donald Trump took office, Powell hinted that the tariff policy will contribute significantly to rising inflation as tariffs increase the cost of imports. This is especially notable because the structure of the U.S. economy remains primarily service-oriented. A majority of goods are imported, not produced domestically. This means that the rising costs of imports will likely drive inflation higher, potentially reaching levels much higher than what we see now.

So, why did the U.S. stock market receive even a small but much-needed boost in this gloomy situation?

First and foremost, this is because, despite the crisis in Europe, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and elsewhere, foreign capital is still flowing into the U.S., seeking refuge in such uncertain times. Additionally, after Powell's press conference, investors suddenly recalled that the Fed might cut interest rates twice. However, the markets and Powell seem overly optimistic and out of touch with reality. The reality is that with the expected rise in tariff-induced inflation, the risks of a recession, coupled with stagflation, are looming, making it impossible to lower interest rates under the current central bank monetary model.

Considering everything described above, I don't see any prospects for a strong recovery in demand for U.S. stocks, tokens, or commodity assets due to the extremely high uncertainty about the future of the U.S. and the global economy. The market is stuck in a vicious cycle, moving along without any current possibility of breaking free. The only asset that will likely continue to be in demand is gold, a safe-haven asset currently testing the $3,050 per ounce level. Also, under the current conditions, the U.S. dollar, according to its ICE index, will likely continue to consolidate in the range of 103.20-104.00 points for some time.

Forecast of the Day:

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Bitcoin

The token is trading erratically, influenced by limited demand due to the overall uncertainty that dominates the markets. This prevents it from growing confidently. Its inability to break above the resistance level of $86,500 could lead to a local reversal and a decline to the $82,200 mark.

Gold

Gold prices are receiving support due to high geopolitical risks and uncertainty surrounding the U.S. and global economies. Investors and central banks are actively buying gold to hedge their financial risks. The local overbought condition of the asset may lead to a correction to $3,025, from which it will try to rebound. After overcoming the $3,050 mark, it may aim for the new target level of $3,080.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
All Analytics
Fundamental analysis
The Euro Ends Its Consolidation and Prepares to Rise Again Inflation in the eurozone remained at 2.2% year-on-year in April, slightly above the expected decline to 2.1%. Meanwhile, core inflation rose from 2.4% to 2.7%, significantly exceeding the forecast
Kuvat Raharjo
19:08 2025-05-06 +02:00
1255
Wave analysis
GBP/USD Analysis – May 6th: The Pound Ignores the BoE The wave structure for the GBP/USD pair has also transitioned into a bullish, impulsive formation—"thanks" to Donald Trump. The wave picture is nearly identical to that of EUR/USD. Prior
Chin Zhao
19:06 2025-05-06 +02:00
1210
Breaking Forecast Trading Plan Cryptocurrencies USD/RUB Russian Economy Video Analysis
Trading Instruments
EURUSD GBPUSD USDCHF USDCAD USDJPY AUDUSD EURGBP EURJPY NZDUSD EURNZD Silver Gold #CL #USDX COVID-19 Bitcoin
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

The Japanese yen is attracting buyers following a recent decline, owing to its status as a safe-haven asset in times of uncertainty. The anticipated recovery of the yen is supported
Irina Yanina 18:47 2025-05-06 UTC+2

EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

The EUR/USD pair is struggling to establish a clear short-term direction, trading within a multi-day range as markets await decisive news from the upcoming FOMC meeting regarding the interest rate
Irina Yanina 11:05 2025-05-06 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

Today, the USD/CAD pair remains positive within a familiar range, without showing strong buying momentum. The strengthening of the U.S. dollar following a two-day decline is attributed to the positive
Irina Yanina 11:03 2025-05-06 UTC+2

The Market Took a Step Back

The longest winning streak of the S&P 500 in two decades has come to an end. But who's responsible? The Federal Reserve, which plans to keep rates unchanged
Marek Petkovich 10:16 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Markets Anxiously Await the Fed's Monetary Policy Meeting (Potential for Renewed Growth in Bitcoin and #NDX)

Markets remain tense. The U.S. Dollar Index and the cryptocurrency market are stagnating, caught between opposing forces. Investors are tensely awaiting the outcome of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting
Pati Gani 10:02 2025-05-06 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – May 6: Trump Goes After the Film Industry

The GBP/USD currency pair traded upward during the first half of Monday and downward during the second half. While the U.S. dollar didn't lose much this time, its brief attempt
Paolo Greco 07:04 2025-05-06 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – May 6: The Protest Against Donald Trump Continues

The EUR/USD currency pair began a new upward cycle on Monday. At this point, no one is likely surprised by another drop in the U.S. dollar. The market started selling
Paolo Greco 07:04 2025-05-06 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on May 6? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Tuesday. In the Eurozone and Germany, the second estimate of April's services PMI will be published, but these are unlikely to attract
Paolo Greco 05:49 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Fed Rate Cut Probability Is Near Zero

This week marks the third Federal Reserve meeting of the year. At the first two meetings, monetary policy parameters remained unchanged, and there is virtually no chance of a rate
Chin Zhao 00:50 2025-05-06 UTC+2

The Dollar Sell-Off Shows No Signs of Slowing Down

The latest CFTC report reveals that the dollar sell-off continues unabated. Weekly changes against major currencies amounted to -$3.1 billion, bringing the total accumulated short position to -$17.1 billion
Kuvat Raharjo 00:50 2025-05-06 UTC+2

Top analytics

Relevance up to 02:00 2025-05-07 UTC--4
USD/JPY: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on May 6. Review of Yesterday's Forex Trades
08:48 2025-05-06
Forecast
Relevance up to 20:00 2025-05-06 UTC--4
Trading Recommendations and Analysis for EUR/USD on May 6: Surprising and Unbelievable
03:32 2025-05-06
Trading plan
Relevance up to 20:00 2025-05-06 UTC--4
EUR/USD Overview – May 6: The Protest Against Donald Trump Continues
07:04 2025-05-06
Fundamental analysis
Relevance up to 23:00 2025-05-06 UTC--4
How to Trade the EUR/USD Pair on May 6? Simple Tips and Trade Analysis for Beginners
05:40 2025-05-06
Trading plan
Relevance up to 09:00 2025-05-11 UTC--4
The Euro Ends Its Consolidation and Prepares to Rise Again
19:08 2025-05-06
Fundamental analysis
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
Callback widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.