empty
04.03.2025 09:29 AM
Will the U.S. Stock Market Continue to Decline? (Potential Drop in #SPX and #NDX)

The U.S. economy is losing growth momentum, which raises concerns for investors in American financial assets amid uncertainty due to a trade war initiated by Donald Trump against U.S. trading partners.

Data from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) on Monday showed that the Manufacturing PMI fell to 50.3 in the past month from 50.9 in January, below the expected 50.5. The index indicates slower growth in the manufacturing sector due to declining demand, production stabilization, and job cuts. Companies show signs of an initial operational shock from the new administration's tariff policies. Rising prices due to Trump's trade policies have already caused delays in placing new orders, disruptions in supplier deliveries, and an impact on production resources.

New orders have dropped significantly since March 2022, falling to 48.6 from 55.1. Employment has also declined to 47.6 from 50.3, nearing the contraction threshold of 50. The report also points to a sharp slowdown in production, dropping to 50.7 from 52.5 in the previous month. Additionally, price pressures have surged to their highest level since June 2022, rising to 62.4 from 54.9. A similar trend is observed in other manufacturing inventory indicators.

With Canada and Mexico expected to join the trade war against the U.S. today, a 25% tariff on imports from these countries is anticipated. Coupled with signs of a slowing national economy, the U.S. stock market continues its freefall after a brief rebound late last week. This is further exacerbated by China's decision to impose retaliatory tariffs of up to 15% on certain U.S. goods starting March 10. The release of pessimistic economic data, concerns over import tariffs, and geopolitical tensions between Washington and Ukraine have already impacted U.S. stock indices, which fell between 1.5% and 2.5% on Monday.

Crude oil prices for BRENT and WTI remain in a short-term downtrend, experiencing their steepest decline since mid-January. A key factor in this drop was the announcement that OPEC+ will continue its planned production increase in April. This raised fears of rising global supply, which will likely put downward pressure on oil prices. Additionally, the prospect of new U.S. tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico could slow economic growth and reduce oil demand.

The cryptocurrency market experienced a brief rebound over the weekend, sparked by statements from Trump on Truth Social. He claimed that a U.S. crypto reserve would "elevate this critical industry" and reverse the restrictive policies of the previous administration. However, the market crashed on Monday and continues to decline this morning, erasing all previous gains.

Looking at the broader picture, it is clear that Trump's administration is dismantling the geopolitical and economic frameworks established by the Democrats. However, it has yet to produce any tangible positive results—something that would be challenging to achieve in just a month and a half of his presidency.

This image is no longer relevant

This image is no longer relevant

Market Forecast for the Day

#SPX

The S&P 500 CFD contract remains under pressure but is still within the 5807.00–6124.80 range. If the decision to impose higher tariffs on Canadian and Mexican goods is confirmed today, and if Trump signals that this is only the beginning, we could see a breakdown of the lower boundary of this range, leading to a drop to 5700.00.

#NDX

The NASDAQ 100 CFD contract is also under pressure, trading near its support level of 20,500. The technology sector feels the strain from China's retaliatory tariffs, which could significantly impact U.S. tech companies. A further deterioration in the situation could push the contract down to 19,863.00.

Pilih carta masa
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
jam
4
jam
1
hari
1
minggu
Jana pendapatan melalui perubahan kadar mata wang kripto dengan InstaForex.
Muat turun MetaTrader 4 dan buka dagangan pertama anda.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    SERTAI PERADUAN

Artikel yang dicadangkan

XAU/USD. Analisis dan Ramalan

Emas mengekalkan nada menurun hari ini, walaupun ia telah pulih sedikit dari tahap rendah harian, dengan meningkat kembali melebihi paras $3300. Pelabur terus berharap untuk kemungkinan pengurangan ketegangan dalam perang

Irina Yanina 12:23 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Pasaran Tiada Lagi Tempat untuk Dijalankan

Sementara Donald Trump dan Beijing masih berusaha untuk menentukan sama ada rundingan perdagangan antara A.S. dan China benar-benar berlaku, S&P 500 terus meningkat untuk hari ketiga berturut-turut — kali

Marek Petkovich 11:57 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Nilai Dolar AS Meningkat — Inilah Sebabnya

Dolar A.S. mengukuh berbanding sejumlah mata wang global, begitu juga pasaran saham A.S., selepas laporan bahawa kerajaan China sedang mempertimbangkan untuk menggantung tarif 125% terhadap beberapa jenis import A.S. Langkah

Jakub Novak 11:31 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Mengapa Harga Emas Boleh Menurun Secara Signifikan? (Terdapat kemungkinan emas akan terus merosot manakala CFD pada kontrak niaga hadapan NASDAQ 100 mungkin meningkat)

Permulaan rundingan sebenar boleh menyebabkan penurunan ketara dalam harga emas dalam masa terdekat. Dalam artikel-artikel terdahulu, saya mencadangkan bahawa harga emas yang sebelum ini meningkat dengan ketara boleh mengalami pembetulan

Pati Gani 10:14 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Gambaran GBP/USD – 25 April: Fed Mula Bimbang Dengan Serius

Pada hari Khamis, pasangan mata wang GBP/USD diniagakan lebih tinggi, kekal berhampiran paras tertinggi 3 tahun. Walaupun pound British menaik kukuh dalam beberapa bulan kebelakangan ini, pembetulan masih jarang berlaku

Paolo Greco 07:57 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Gambaran Keseluruhan EUR/USD – 25 April: Amerika Syarikat Memfailkan Saman Terhadap Trump

Pasangan mata wang EUR/USD meneruskan dagangan secara tenang pada hari Khamis, meskipun tahap volatiliti kekal agak tinggi. Minggu ini, dolar AS menunjukkan beberapa tanda pemulihan—sesuatu yang boleh dianggap sebagai satu

Paolo Greco 07:57 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Apakah yang Perlu Diberi Perhatian pada 25 April? Pecahan Acara Asas kepada Pedagang Baharu

Analisis Laporan Makroekonomi: Beberapa acara makroekonomi dijadualkan pada hari Jumaat, tetapi ini tidak penting, memandangkan pasaran terus mengabaikan 90% daripada semua penerbitan. Antara laporan yang lebih atau kurang signifikan hari

Paolo Greco 07:06 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Yen Kelihatan Semakin Kuat

Indeks Harga Pengguna kebangsaan yang diterbitkan minggu lalu menunjukkan inflasi teras yang meningkat pada bulan Mac—dari 2.6% kepada 2.9%. Tekanan inflasi semakin meningkat, menyokong kes untuk kenaikan kadar faedah selanjutnya

Kuvat Raharjo 01:23 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Kanada Menunggu Keputusan Pilihan Raya. Tinjauan USD/CAD

Minggu lalu, Bank of Canada mengekalkan kadar faedah tidak berubah pada paras 2.75%, seperti yang dijangkakan. Kenyataan yang dikeluarkan bersama keputusan tersebut bersifat neutral, menekankan ketidaktentuan yang berterusan. Sukar untuk

Kuvat Raharjo 00:59 2025-04-25 UTC+2

Dolar Australia Mungkin Terjejas Jika Perang Perdagangan AS-China Semakin Memuncak

Presiden Amerika Syarikat, Donald Trump sekali lagi memberikan komen mengenai Pengerusi Rizab Persekutuan, Jerome Powell, secara terbuka menyatakan rasa tidak puas hati dengan kadar pemotongan kadar faedah. Satu lagi ungkapan

Kuvat Raharjo 00:59 2025-04-25 UTC+2
Tidak boleh bertanya sekarang?
Tanya soalan anda di Ruangan bersembang.
Panggilan semula Widget
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.