empty
29.03.2023 11:16 AM
Bitcoin continues to move sideways, but the clouds are gathering: what to expect in the near term?

The previous bullish week ended and left the cryptocurrency market in a state of increased volatility. The market has been consolidating and moving sideways for the fifth day to stabilize the situation. Trading volumes have fallen below $20 billion, and volatility has decreased significantly.

At the end of yesterday's trading day Bitcoin came close to the lower boundary of the $26.6k consolidation channel. However, the asset managed to rebound from this level and recover above $28k. This means that Bitcoin will retest the upper boundary of the consolidation channel in the near future.

This image is no longer relevant

The cryptocurrency has a ghostly chance to break through the upper border near $29k, and develop the next stage of the upward movement. This option is likely, but only within the framework of manipulative actions in order to collect liquidity beyond the resistance levels. Otherwise, the situation is becoming increasingly bearish, both fundamentally and technically.

Fundamental Factors

According to MarketDesk, Fed officials fear another round of rising inflation due to stimulus for the banking system. Against this background, the BlackRock investment fund makes a statement that the regulator will continue to raise the rate, and there is a high probability of dragging out the current monetary policy until the end of summer.

This image is no longer relevant

Goldman Sachs analysts said their estimate of the likelihood of a recession in the U.S. economy over the next 12 months rose from 25% to 35%. The index may rise even higher on Friday, on the release of GDP data for Q4 2022 and labor market statistics.

U.S. regulators continue to smoothly "squeeze" liquidity from the largest exchange, Binance. The CFTC has filed a lawsuit against the crypto exchange and wants a complete ban on the company's operations in the U.S., as well as all of its subsidiaries.

This image is no longer relevant

Against the background of this statement, the cryptocurrency market collapsed locally, having experienced an outflow of funds of more than $300 million per day. However, in addition to fundamental reasons, there are more and more technical signals that Bitcoin, and the entire market behind it, are moving in the direction of a corrective movement.

Profit-taking in BTC intensifies

As of March 29, Bitcoin was up 3.8% as part of a recovery move above $28k. On the daily chart, the cryptocurrency formed a bullish cross on the stochastic, which may indicate a further upward movement. At the same time, there is divergence on the MACD, and thus we should not expect great results from the upward move.

This image is no longer relevant

Last week, we noted emerging trends among long-term investors and miners. The former began to sell off their holdings when the price peaked above $28.5k. In the same period, miner stocks fell by 600 BTC in just two days.

This image is no longer relevant

Obviously, due to the lack of growth in the price of BTC and the retention of the key support at $26.6k, investors come to a decision in the form of profit-taking. Glassnode experts say profit-taking sentiment has expanded to short-term investors.

This image is no longer relevant

The current distribution period is also an important signal for a likely decline in the Bitcoin price. The price is testing the lower boundary of the current corridor with increasing volumes and volatility. At the same time, the recovery movement of the price occurs with falling volumes.

Results

Such observations indicate that bearish sentiment on the BTC market is growing, and in the near future, when the process of profit-taking will reach its apogee, we expect a breakdown of the $26.6k level. The nearest support zone for BTC will be $25k–$25.3k.

This image is no longer relevant

Subsequently, the asset may fall further to the levels of $23.6k–$24k and $22.1k. Simultaneously with the price decline there will be a stage of mass redistribution of BTC coins and liquidity withdrawal, which in the medium term will become a springboard for movement to $30k.

Artem Petrenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 23

Bitcoin and Ethereum plummeted following speculation that Iran might block the Strait of Hormuz and begin bombing U.S. oil tankers in retaliation for American strikes. This triggered a massive sell-off

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:07 2025-06-23 UTC+2

Trading tips for crypto market on May 20 (North American session)

Bitcoin and Ether performed well today in terms of buying following a pause in yesterday's bear market. Demand has returned to the cryptocurrency market, especially after geopolitical tensions eased somewhat

Miroslaw Bawulski 16:20 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 20

Bitcoin continued trading within a sideways channel, dropping to the $104,000 area yesterday before recovering to a more acceptable level of $104,500. Ethereum also showed no clear directional movement. Despite

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:24 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Ripple Cryptocurrency, Friday June 20, 2025.

The Ripple cryptocurrency on its 4-hour chart appears to be moving in a ranging - sideways condition where it is currently stuck at the Support Bullish Rejection Block area level

Arief Makmur 07:45 2025-06-20 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Doge Cryptocurrency, Friday June 20, 2025.

From what is seen on the 4-hour chart, the Doge cryptocurrency appears to be moving under a Bearish bias, where this can be seen from its price movement which

Arief Makmur 07:45 2025-06-20 UTC+2

BTC/USD Analysis on June 19, 2025

The wave pattern on the 4-hour BTC/USD chart has become more complex in recent months. A corrective downward structure formed and completed near the $75,000 level. After that, a fairly

Chin Zhao 11:07 2025-06-19 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 19

Yesterday, Bitcoin and Ethereum remained under pressure, failing to receive support from major players despite attempts to break through key resistance levels. After dipping to around $130,400, Bitcoin is currently

Miroslaw Bawulski 08:36 2025-06-19 UTC+2

Wave analysis of BTC/USD on June 18. Bitcoin to clear up its overall impulse

The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart of BTC/USD has become more complicated in recent months. We observed a corrective downward structure that completed near the $75,000 mark. After that

Chin Zhao 15:34 2025-06-18 UTC+2

Middle East Tensions and U.S. Involvement Trigger Crypto Market Sell-Off

Bitcoin came under significant pressure yesterday following the escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The likelihood of U.S. involvement in a military conflict has increased significantly, which puts pressure

Jakub Novak 11:41 2025-06-18 UTC+2

Trading Recommendations for the Cryptocurrency Market on June 18

Bitcoin and Ethereum plunged following the latest escalation in the Middle East and the increasing likelihood that the United States will be drawn into the conflict. Bitcoin dropped from $107,600

Miroslaw Bawulski 09:46 2025-06-18 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.